Statistical analysis of MMR vaccine adverse events on aseptic meningitis using the case cross-over design. Frequency of true adverse reactions to measles-mumps-rubella vaccine. A double-blind placebo-controlled trial in twins. MMR-vaccine and regression in autism spectrum disorders: negative results presented from Japan. Risk of hospitalization because of aseptic meningitis after measles-mumps-rubella vaccination in one- to two-year-old children: an analysis of the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) Project. A randomised single blind trial of a combined mumps measles rubella vaccine to evaluate serological response and reactions in the UK population. The effectiveness of the mumps component of the MMR vaccine: a case control study. Neurologic disorders after measles-mumps-rubella vaccination. Safety, immunogenicity and limited efficacy study of a recombinant Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite vaccine in Thai soldiers. Lack of association between measles-mumps-rubella vaccination and autism in children: a case-control study.
Vaccination is quite effective in reducing the incidence of disease. However, it may cause some adverse events. For example, one of the adverse events of measles-mumps-rubella(MMR) vaccination is the occurrence of aseptic meningitis. Since the vaccination rate is usually quite high, it is not plausible to use popular study designs such as cohort or case-control studies. We considered a case cross-over design to investigate the association between MMR vaccination and aseptic meningitis in Korean children. We used the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel(CMH) approach, and obtained a Mantel-Haenszel odds ratio estimator as a measure of association. However, the validity of case cross-over design or the CMH approach in vaccine adverse studies has not been fully investigated. In this paper, through Monte Carlo simulation studies, we show the appropriateness of the case cross-over design and the CMH approach. We also discuss alternative approaches such as Poisson regression using offset and a simple uniformity test. In conclusion, the case cross-over design seems useful to investigate the association between vaccination and occurrence of acute adverse events.
                Copyright 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. The vast majority of adverse reactions following immunisation of children with live measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine were shown in a double-blind, placebo-controlled, cross-over study in 581 twin pairs to be only temporally but not causally related to the vaccination. The true frequency of side-effects caused by MMR vaccine, estimated from the discordance rates of individual signs and symptoms between MMR vaccinees and their placebo-injected twins, was between 0.5 and 4.0%. Moreover, respiratory symptoms, nausea, and vomiting were observed more frequently in the placebo-injected group than in the MMR vaccinated group. It has been suggested that the measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine (MMR) is a cause of regressive autism. As MMR was used in Japan only between 1989 and 1993, this time period affords a natural experiment to examine this hypothesis. Data on 904 patients with autism spectrum disorders (ASD) were analyzed. During the period of MMR usage no significant difference was found in the incidence of regression between MMR-vaccinated children and non-vaccinated children. Among the proportion and incidence of regression across the three MMR-program-related periods (before, during and after MMR usage), no significant difference was found between those who had received MMR and those who had not. Moreover, the incidence of regression did not change significantly across the three periods. To assess the level of increased risk, if any, of hospitalizations for aseptic meningitis after Jeryl-Lynn mumps strain measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine in the Vaccine Safety Datalink population.
                A possible increased risk of aseptic meningitis 8 to 14 days after receipt of MMR was observed in a preliminary screening analysis of automated data from the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) project Year 2 analysis. To further evaluate this association a retrospective 10-year matched case-control study was undertaken in the four health maintenance organizations (HMOs) in the VSD project. Cases ascertained from a broad scan of the automated data were validated against a standard case definition. Two controls matched on age, sex, HMO and HMO membership were assigned per case.
                The VSD project involves the cooperative collection of automated vaccination and medical outcome data from four large HMOs that currently have 500,000 children younger than 7 years of age under surveillance. Review of automated screening results from the first 2 years of data revealed a possible increased risk of aseptic meningitis 0 to 14 days after MMR with a relative risk of 3.61 (95% confidence interval, 1.0 to 13.1) although the total number of cases was small. Although the automated data had suggested a possible association of aseptic meningitis with MMR containing the Jeryl-Lynn strain of mumps, review of validated hospitalized cases during the observation period did not reveal evidence of an increased risk of aseptic meningitis after MMR containing the Jeryl-Lynn strain of mumps (odds ratio < 1.0 for all analyses).
                Although it is recognized that hospitalized cases represent a minority of the total cases of aseptic meningitis, it is reassuring that in this evaluation no increased risk of aseptic meningitis after MMR vaccine was found. Four hundred and twenty children were randomly assigned to receive either mumps measles rubella (MMR) vaccine (207) or measles vaccine (213) in a single blind study, to investigate the reactogenicity and serology of the MMR vaccine. There was no significant difference between the number of children developing symptoms after MMR vaccination to those developing symptoms after measles vaccination. Both vaccines are associated with a rash, temperature and restlessness five to thirteen days after vaccination. The serological response to measles vaccine was similar in both groups with 92-6% seroconverting with MMR, and 96-8% with measles. Seroconvertion against mumps and rubella with the MMR vaccine was 88% and 96% respectively. This study confirms the safety and efficacy of the MMR vaccine in a UK population. In 1998/1999, an outbreak of mumps occurred among children of a religious community in North East London. A case control study was conducted to assess the effectiveness of the mumps component of the MMR vaccine. One hundred and sixty-one cases of mumps were identified and 192 controls were selected. Fifty-one percent of cases and 77% of controls had a history at least one MMR vaccination. The observed effectiveness of any MMR vaccination adjusted for age, sex and general practice was 69% (95% CI: 41-84%). This is consistent with the results of other observational studies of mumps containing vaccines, but lower than the immunogenicity of mumps vaccines reported by clinical trials. This discrepancy is because observational studies tend to underestimate vaccine effectiveness, and because immunogenicity is not necessarily an accurate biological marker of vaccine effectiveness. Two doses of vaccine were more effective (88% (95% CI: 62-96%)) than a single dose (64% (95% CI: 40-78%)). The current two-dose vaccination programme remains the best method for controlling mumps infection in the community. The possibility of adverse neurologic events has fueled much concern about the safety of measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccinations. The available evidence concerning several of the postulated complications is controversial. The aim of this study was to assess whether an association prevails between MMR vaccination and encephalitis, aseptic meningitis, and autism.
                A retrospective study based on linkage of individual MMR vaccination data with a hospital discharge register was conducted among 535 544 1- to 7-year-old children who were vaccinated between November 1982 and June 1986 in Finland. For encephalitis and aseptic meningitis, the numbers of events observed within a 3-month risk interval after vaccination were compared with the expected numbers estimated on the basis of occurrence of encephalitis and aseptic meningitis during the subsequent 3-month intervals. Changes in the overall number of hospitalizations for autism after vaccination throughout the study period were searched for. In addition, hospitalizations because of inflammatory bowel diseases were checked for the children with autism.
                Of the 535 544 children who were vaccinated, 199 were hospitalized for encephalitis, 161 for aseptic meningitis, and 352 for autistic disorders. In 9 children with encephalitis and 10 with meningitis, the disease developed within 3 months of vaccination, revealing no increased occurrence within this designated risk period. We detected no clustering of hospitalizations for autism after vaccination. None of the autistic children made hospital visits for inflammatory bowel diseases.
                We did not identify any association between MMR vaccination and encephalitis, aseptic meningitis, or autism. Thai soldiers were vaccinated with a recombinant protein derived from the central repeat region of the circumsporozoite (CS) protein of Plasmodium falciparum conjugated to Toxin A (detoxified) of Pseudomonas aeruginosa (R32Tox-A) to evaluate its safety, immunogenicity and efficacy. In a randomized, double-blind manner, 199 volunteers received either R32Tox-A or a control vaccine at 0, 8 and 16 weeks. Immunization was performed in a malaria non-transmission area, after completion of which volunteers were deployed to an endemic border area and monitored closely to allow early detection and treatment of infection. The vaccine was found to be safe and to elicit antibody responses in all vaccinees. Peak CS antibody (IgG) concentrations in malaria-experienced vaccinees exceeded those in malaria-naive vaccinees (mean 40.6 versus 16.1 micrograms ml-1; p = 0.005) as well as those induced by previous CS protein-derived vaccines and observed in association with natural infections. A log-rank comparison of time to falciparum malaria revealed no differences between vaccinated and non-vaccinated subjects. Secondary analyses revealed that CS antibody levels were lower in vaccinee malaria cases than in non-cases, 3 and 5 months after the third dose of vaccine (p = 0.06 and p = 0.014, respectively). Because antibody levels had fallen substantially before peak malaria transmission occurred, the question of whether high levels of CS antibody are protective remains to be resolved. The first objective of the study was to determine whether there is a relationship between the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccination and autism in children. The second objective was to examine whether the risk of autism differs between use of MMR and the single measles vaccine.
                Case-control study.
                The 96 cases with childhood or atypical autism, aged 2 to 15, were included into the study group. Controls consisted of 192 children individually matched to cases by year of birth, sex, and general practitioners.
                Data on autism diagnosis and vaccination history were from physicians. Data on the other probable autism risk factors were collected from mothers. Logistic conditional regression was used to assess the risk of autism resulting from vaccination. Assessment was made for children vaccinated (1) Before diagnosis of autism, and (2) Before first symptoms of autism onset. Odds ratios were adjusted to mother's age, medication during pregnancy, gestation time, perinatal injury and Apgar score.
                For children vaccinated before diagnosis, autism risk was lower in children vaccinated with MMR than in the nonvaccinated (OR: 0.17, 95% CI: 0.06-0.52) as well as to vaccinated with single measles vaccine (OR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.22-0.91). The risk for vaccinated versus nonvaccinated (independent of vaccine type) was 0.28 (95% CI: 0.10-0.76). The risk connected with being vaccinated before onset of first symptoms was significantly lower only for MMR versus single vaccine (OR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.22-0.99).
                The study provides evidence against the association of autism with either MMR or a single measles vaccine.
The design and reporting of safety outcomes in MMR vaccine studies, both pre- and post-marketing, are largely inadequate. The evidence of adverse events following immunisation with the MMR vaccine cannot be separated from its role in preventing the target diseases.